The military divorce rate went down slightly in 2012,
settling at 3.5 percent, according to Pentagon statistics released to
Military.com on Tuesday. Military officials and divorce experts are hopeful
that the overall rate, which had crept slowly up from 2.6 percent in 2001 to
3.7 percent in 2011, is starting to move downward. Still, researchers are
hesitant to call the decrease a real trend until they see it continue for a
longer period. “The sense is that things are possibly drifting down,” said
Benjamin Karney, a researcher with the RAND Corp. who has studied military
divorce. “Interpreting it is a challenge. As much as it would be terrific to
say ‘Oh great, we’ve turned a corner,’ it’s really hard to do that in one
year.” The divorce rate is measured by comparing the number of married military
members at the beginning to the end of the fiscal year while taking into
account attrition, new recruits, and new marriages. Between 2011 and 2012, the
divorce rate went down slightly in every service among male and female
servicemembers of all ranks. Enlisted female soldiers and Marines, however,
continue to experience the highest rate of divorce -- 9.4 percent and 9.3
percent respectively. In the Army, the female enlisted divorce rate is more
than triple that of enlisted males. Still, those rates are down from the 2011
rates of 9.6 percent in Army and 9.8 percent in the Marine Corps. But the
incremental rate change does not necessarily translate into a noticeable
day-to-day difference. One divorce attorney in military-rich San Diego said he
has not seen any substantial increase or decrease in military divorces over the
last 10 to 20 years. It is improving slightly, the entire picture is looking
up.
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